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Data suggest dark tanker runs move about 1.9m barrels a day out of Hormuz

Mountain Time
Local time
11:00 AM in Dubai
Where
Strait of Hormuz

A Guardian analysis of Trump's claim of a 'secret mission' found that shuttle tankers running with transponders off and ship-to-ship transfers may have moved about 1.9 million barrels a day through the strait since April, according to Kpler, against 15.6 million a day before the war; Lloyd's List said U.S. 'overwatch operations' were helping some of these transits along the Omani coast.

Why it matters

Trump's figure of 100 million barrels could not be fully checked but was broadly consistent with the flows Kpler observed, equal to about five days of normal traffic.

Source

Confidence: Published by a named news organization. Not yet independently confirmed. About confidence labels

Correction

  • Corrected the headline (it read "Shadow Hormuz flows get harder numbers"); revised the summary; revised the context note; corrected the location from Strait of Hormuz / Gulf of Oman shipping lanes to Strait of Hormuz; reclassified it from market to energy-markets; updated the sourcing note; removed Lloyd's List Strait of Hormuz crisis as a source (a rolling index page that now shows other content); removed Trading Economics crude oil as a source (a live price page, not a dated report); removed MSCIO alerts as a source (a rolling index page that now shows other content). Why and evidence